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SME confidence falls for first time in a year

Confidence among small businesses fell for the first time since the EU referendum back in June 2016, according to the Federation of Small Businesses (FSB).

The latest quarterly Small Business Index dropped 5 points, down from +20 in Q1 2017 to +15 in Q2. 

Operating costs for SMEs also increased sharply to 66% in Q2, up from 53% in the same period last year.

52% saw the domestic economy as a threat to expansion plans, while concerns over consumer demand (30%), labour costs (24%) and tax burdens (17%) were also raised.

Further findings:

  • SMEs in East Midlands (+35), Wales (+31) and London (+25) had the highest confidence, while enterprises in Yorkshire (+14), the North West (+9) and Scotland (-4) were the least confident
  • small firms in communication (+43) and manufacturing (+36) were the most confident in Q2, compared to those in arts (-4) and retail (-9).

Mike Cherry, national chairman at FSB, said:

“Small businesses were feeling more pessimistic even before the general election. Now alongside increasing inflationary pressure, a business rates revaluation and rising labour costs, they have a whole new wave of political uncertainty to contend with.

“For decades we’ve heard governments discuss the need to create a balanced economy. It’s time for meaningful action. 

“Too many small businesses, particularly in the North, are being held back by derisory investment in infrastructure, connectivity and skills.”

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Inflation rate rises to 2.9%

Rising prices for recreational goods, including computer games, toys and hobbies contributed to the increase in the inflation rate last month.

According to the Office for National Statistics, inflation rose 0.2% to 2.9% in May, up from 2.7% in April and above the Bank of England’s 2% target.

The rate has climbed gradually to reach a new four-year high, last seen in June 2013.

Prices in food and electricity also went up but there were falls in motor fuel prices and air and sea fares.

Suren Thiru, head of economics at the British Chambers of Commerce, said:

“Higher inflation is a key business concern as it squeezes margins and weakens their ability to invest, particularly during this time of heightened political uncertainty.

“A key focus of the new government must therefore be on easing the current pressure on firms’ cost base by tackling the burden of upfront costs and taxes associated with doing business in the UK. 

“It is also imperative the Monetary Policy Committee continues to ‘look through’ the expected increases in inflation and keep interest rates on hold.”

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